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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.175 | $0 | -$1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 263.7 | $0.114 | $30 | Nov 18, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 176.47 |
| $0.170 |
| $30 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?Yes | buy | 680.71 | $0.015 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Yes | buy | 167.54 | $0.060 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?Yes | buy | 100.48 | $0.034 | $3.45 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?Yes | buy | 521.4 | $0.008 | $4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 173.91 | $0.230 | $40 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 230.77 | $0.260 | $60 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 105.13 | $0.380 | $40 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.460 | $40 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 23.94 | $0.626 | $15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $15m?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.120 | $7 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?Yes | buy | 24.62 | $0.650 | $16 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 98.68 | $0.760 | $75 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 48.76 | $0.337 | $16.43 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 206.2 | $0.419 | $86.45 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 138.99 | $0.022 | $3.06 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 "The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | sell | 102.73 | $0.013 | $1.34 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.460 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 87.89 | $0.057 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.150 | $32.61 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 "Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.52 | $0.615 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | buy | 102.74 | $0.022 | $2.3 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?Yes | buy | 102.63 | $0.049 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 291.97 | $0.137 | $40 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?Yes | sell | 377.35 | $0.826 | $311.65 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?Yes | buy | 377.36 | $0.530 | $200 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.006 | $0.66 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | buy | 56.62 | $0.706 | $40 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jun 9, 2025 |