Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 158.73 | $0.630 | $143.65 | +$43.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.690 | $3.8 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.500 |
| $135 |
| +$35 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 125.54 | $0.790 | $112.35 | +$13.15 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 133.74 | $0.740 | $106.33 | +$7.36 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 120.66 | $0.829 | $102.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 119.05 | $0.840 | $101.79 | +$1.79 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 211.87 | $0.460 | $98.52 | +$1.06 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 144.93 | $0.690 | $94.93 | -$5.07 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 26 | $0.550 | $13 | -$1.3 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5.5 | $0.690 | $4.29 | +$0.5 |
| buy |
| 211.87 |
| $0.460 |
| $97.46 |
| 14h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 184.51 | $0.540 | $99.64 | 21h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 168.86 | $0.450 | $75.99 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 26 | $0.550 | $14.3 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 125.54 | $0.790 | $99.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?No | buy | 118.49 | $0.837 | $99.2 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 183.97 | $0.534 | $98.23 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 184.51 | $0.529 | $97.7 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 168.86 | $0.580 | $97.94 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 6d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 133.74 | $0.740 | $98.97 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.280 | $25.2 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.290 | $26.1 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 110.66 | $0.140 | $15.48 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 110.67 | $0.900 | $99.6 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.52 | $0.730 | $98.93 | 9d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 120.66 | $0.829 | $100 | 9d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.750 | $4.93 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 12d ago |