Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.930 | $1.22 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.930 | $1.23 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes| buy |
| 1.23 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.16 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.970 | $1.13 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.906 | $1.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.986 | $2.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.955 | $1.17 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.998 | $2.4 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.860 | $4.31 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on April 5?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.985 | $2.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.51 | $0.910 | $4.1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12AM ETUp | buy | 27.53 | $0.998 | $27.47 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8PM ETUp | buy | 42.95 | $0.050 | $2.15 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7PM ETDown | buy | 85 | $0.008 | $0.68 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ETUp | buy | 42.45 | $0.200 | $8.49 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12AM ETDown | buy | 211.99 | $0.011 | $2.33 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |