Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 60K | $0.069 | $3.3K | -$848.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.070 | $350 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.549 |
| $274.71 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.549 | $548.51 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.321 | $320.57 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.534 | $267.03 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.160 | $800 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 327.54 | $0.818 | $268 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.750 | $74.25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 198.55 | $0.729 | $144.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 302.47 | $0.557 | $168.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.36K | $0.011 | $124.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.300 | $300 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.550 | $275 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.299 | $149.71 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.55 | $0.440 | $15.64 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 618.1 | $0.034 | $21.02 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.008 | $41.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 119.62 | $0.223 | $26.64 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 225.05 | $0.539 | $121.38 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.012 | $18.36 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.001 | $1.66 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 155.88 | $0.470 | $73.31 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.070 | $3.59 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 14.68 | $0.945 | $13.87 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.400 | $13.2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.03K | $0.160 | $804.47 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.98K | $0.070 | $698.41 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.49K | $0.016 | $71.78 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 842.42 | $0.003 | $2.53 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.003 | $300 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.003 | $300 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.860 | $258 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 49.6 | $0.938 | $46.52 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.280 | $84 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.005 | $21 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.020 | $83.96 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.019 | $2.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10.05K | $0.005 | $50.23 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |