Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 373 | $0.965 | $359.95 | Apr 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 373 |
| $0.966 |
| $360.32 |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 167 | $0.967 | $161.49 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 153 | $0.964 | $147.49 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 599 | $0.271 | $162.33 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 659 | $0.277 | $182.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 308 | $0.165 | $50.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 278.44 | $0.162 | $45.11 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 263 | $0.980 | $257.74 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 45 | $0.843 | $37.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 432 | $0.837 | $361.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 201 | $0.082 | $16.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 347 | $0.082 | $28.45 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 334 | $0.833 | $278.22 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 123.46 | $0.020 | $2.47 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.021 | $7.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 582 | $0.620 | $360.84 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 514.89 | $0.624 | $321.29 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 232 | $0.984 | $228.29 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 420 | $0.864 | $362.88 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 321 | $0.864 | $277.34 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 358 | $0.959 | $343.32 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 430 | $0.842 | $362.06 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 430 | $0.842 | $362.06 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 322 | $0.015 | $4.83 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 322 | $0.016 | $5.15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 355 | $0.865 | $307.08 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.864 | $4.32 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.158 | $32.23 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 338 | $0.158 | $53.4 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 326 | $0.841 | $274.17 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 370 | $0.978 | $361.86 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 16 | $0.979 | $15.66 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 345 | $0.914 | $315.33 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 677 | $0.016 | $10.83 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.968 | $218.77 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 157 | $0.973 | $152.76 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 17 | $0.975 | $16.58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | buy | 295 | $0.969 | $285.86 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 448 | $0.757 | $339.14 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 179 | $0.965 | $172.73 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | sell | 511.95 | $0.042 | $21.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 654 | $0.040 | $26.16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 436 | $0.017 | $7.41 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 436 | $0.017 | $7.41 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 230 | $0.898 | $206.54 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 332 | $0.013 | $4.32 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.040 | $1.48 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.036 | $3.31 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 382 | $0.936 | $357.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |