Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 4.85 | $0.590 | $2.86 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.85 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.91 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | sell | 4.53 | $0.250 | $1.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 4.54 | $0.260 | $1.18 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.530 | $1.47 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.550 | $1.53 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5.91 | $0.271 | $1.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.279 | $1.65 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.440 | $1.41 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.450 | $1.44 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.740 | $2.89 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.750 | $2.93 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.4 | $0.340 | $2.18 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.350 | $2.24 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.97 | $0.350 | $1.39 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.370 | $1.47 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.42 | $0.675 | $2.31 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.747 | $2.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.59 | $0.330 | $1.18 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.340 | $1.22 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.280 | $1.44 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.290 | $1.49 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.301 | $1.01 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.308 | $1.04 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.79 | $0.510 | $3.46 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.580 | $3.94 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.730 | $3.18 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.740 | $3.23 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.65 | $0.770 | $5.89 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.630 | $4.82 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.670 | $3.89 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 4.33 | $0.700 | $3.03 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.470 | $1.84 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.540 | $2.12 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.710 | $3.08 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No | sell | 6.6 | $0.650 | $4.29 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.660 | $4.36 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.500 | $3.87 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 7.73 | $0.520 | $4.02 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Up | sell | 2.36 | $0.760 | $1.79 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Up | buy | 2.36 | $0.750 | $1.77 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 2.25 | $0.740 | $1.67 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.750 | $1.69 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 3.85 | $0.344 | $1.32 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.348 | $1.34 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.680 | $3.88 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.690 | $3.94 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.570 | $3.48 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.570 | $3.48 | Mar 19, 2025 |