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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.607 | $639.09 | Apr 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.05K |
| $0.949 |
| $1K |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 3.51K | $0.740 | $2.6K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 800 | $0.900 | $720 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft buy TikTok?No | buy | 588.43 | $0.872 | $513 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 313.32 | $0.440 | $137.86 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 675.68 | $0.740 | $500 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | sell | 448 | $0.860 | $385.28 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.860 | $602 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?Yes | sell | 617.44 | $0.996 | $614.97 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | sell | 315.62 | $0.136 | $43.02 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | sell | 297.05 | $0.030 | $8.91 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 297.06 | $0.673 | $200 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 151.11 | $0.990 | $149.6 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 104.4 | $0.096 | $10 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?Yes | buy | 617.45 | $0.972 | $600 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 108.21 | $0.999 | $108.1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 611.78 | $0.999 | $611.17 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 151.12 | $0.860 | $130 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 315.63 | $0.640 | $202 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 611.78 | $0.817 | $500 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 108.22 | $0.924 | $100 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.850 | $300 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.391 | $489.66 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.910 | $1.01K | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 560.05 | $0.928 | $520 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.959 | $1.2K | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 823.53 | $0.850 | $700 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 574.71 | $0.880 | $505.74 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.869 | $900 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | sell | 1K | $0.942 | $942 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 6.71K | $0.805 | $5.4K | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 744.68 | $0.977 | $727.55 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.990 | $1.49K | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 626.66 | $0.790 | $494.8 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 574.71 | $0.870 | $500 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?No | buy | 662.61 | $0.882 | $584.6 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.124 | $182.65 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.170 | $250 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?No | sell | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 500 | $0.919 | $459.5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 500 | $0.919 | $459.5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?No | buy | 193.97 | $0.810 | $157.12 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.830 | $831.33 | Feb 4, 2025 |