Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 645.83 | $0.774 | $618.06 | +$118.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 579.73 | $0.969 | $561.49 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 308.64 |
| $0.810 |
| $288.58 |
| +$38.58 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.600 | $41.67 | -$208.33 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 23.6 | $0.890 | $21.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 560.42 |
| $0.901 |
| $505.02 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?No | buy | 298.13 | $0.657 | $195.83 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 348.84 | $0.860 | $300 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 501.93 | $0.598 | $300 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 23.6 | $0.890 | $21 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?No | buy | 193.33 | $0.522 | $101 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by February 14?No | buy | 252.32 | $0.913 | $230.32 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 645.83 | $0.774 | $500 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| North Korea missile launch by February 14?No | buy | 333.04 | $0.901 | $300 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 288.17 | $0.830 | $239.18 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 251.76 | $0.950 | $239.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 349.47 | $0.830 | $290.06 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 129.67 | $0.910 | $118 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.600 | $250 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 251.76 | $0.993 | $250 | Jan 30, 2026 |