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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 75 | $0.200 | $17.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.09 | $0.930 | $3.8 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.61 |
| $0.790 |
| $8 |
| +$1.2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.17 | $0.582 | $5.19 | -$1.31 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $5 | -$5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $3.28 | +$1.28 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.360 | $3.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $2.94 | -$7.06 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.090 | $2.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.63 | $0.540 | $2.69 | +$0.19 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 2.16 | $0.929 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 2.04 | $0.979 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.630 | $1.89 | -$0.11 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.94 | $0.904 | $1.88 | +$0.13 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $1.78 | -$0.23 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 28.08 | $0.142 | $1.47 | -$2.53 |
 Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31? | No | 1.48 | $0.880 | $1.41 | +$0.11 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.19 | $0.470 | $1.39 | -$0.11 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.96 | $0.500 | $1.11 | -$0.37 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.560 | $0.7 | -$1.3 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $0.64 | -$9.36 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.9 | $0.145 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.110 | $0.16 | -$2.34 |
| buy |
| 3.17 |
| $0.630 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.540 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.470 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.145 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Zhangjiagang: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Koki MatsudaMitsuki Wei Kang Leong | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Solana reach $110 in August?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.550 | $2.98 | 12d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.470 | $1.01 | 26d ago |
| Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.880 | $1.3 | 26d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | 26d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?No | buy | 84.03 | $0.036 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Yes | buy | 7.76 | $0.344 | $2.67 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 4.64 | $0.900 | $4.18 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.987 | $3.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.29 | $0.081 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No | sell | 20.34 | $0.793 | $16.13 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.96 | $0.500 | $1.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.045 | $1.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.850 | $8.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |