Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No | buy | 822.4 | $0.899 | $739.02 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.887 |
| $443.55 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.590 | $590 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 19.97 | $0.900 | $17.97 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "More" or "Again" 22+ times during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 500 | $0.937 | $468.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 462.62 | $0.460 | $212.81 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.980 | $294 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 186.47 | $0.990 | $184.61 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Michael Saylor say "Bitcoin" 100+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?No | buy | 0.97 | $0.940 | $0.91 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $484.78 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.980 | $490 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.964 | $482 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" during Kennedy Center event today?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.46 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" 5+ times during his meeting with the NATO Secretary General?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" 3+ times during his meeting with the NATO Secretary General?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.859 | $180.4 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | buy | 326.9 | $0.971 | $317.4 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 253 | $0.971 | $245.61 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025Yes | sell | 50.01 | $0.999 | $49.96 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say Tax 7+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025Yes | sell | 305 | $0.990 | $301.95 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say Tax 7+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025Yes | buy | 500 | $0.931 | $465.5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 189.94 | $0.987 | $187.47 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 187.66 | $0.999 | $187.47 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 327.31 | $0.990 | $324.04 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 168.46 | $0.963 | $162.27 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ukraine" 20+ times during Macron presser today?No | buy | 245 | $0.979 | $239.9 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 516 | $0.969 | $500 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.960 | $13.2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance?Yes | buy | 79.99 | $0.970 | $77.59 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Billion" 15 or more times during Miami investment conference?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.999 | $599.4 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Billion" 15 or more times during Miami investment conference?Yes | buy | 28.88 | $0.790 | $22.82 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?Yes | sell | 235.11 | $0.999 | $234.87 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Red Star Belgrade beat Young Boys?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 83.57 | $0.988 | $82.53 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445.01 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Atlético Madrid beat Bayer Leverkusen?Yes | sell | 690 | $0.999 | $689.31 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" 7 or more times during the announcement?Yes | buy | 323 | $0.990 | $319.77 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will the match between Atlético Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No | buy | 320.09 | $0.990 | $316.89 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Atlético Madrid beat Bayer Leverkusen?Yes | buy | 690 | $0.990 | $683.1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden say "Folks" 3 or more times during farewell address?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.999 | $1.12K | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Dec 18, 2024 |