Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 210.53 | $0.190 | $14.53 | -$25.47 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 237.45 | $0.105 | $25 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 810.81 |
| $0.037 |
| $30 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.190 | $40 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 351.93 | $0.043 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.630 | $60 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.51 | $0.496 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 24.59 | $0.813 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 322.49 | $0.033 | $10.56 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.35K | $0.016 | $37.65 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 137.93 | $0.290 | $40 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 263.67 | $0.171 | $45 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.017 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 322.5 | $0.124 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 480.08 | $0.083 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |