Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 338.1 | $0.148 | $43.95 | -$6.05 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 19d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 180.64 |
| $0.172 |
| $17.16 |
| -$13.84 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.148 | $15.88 | -$4.12 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 47.62 | $0.420 | $10.24 | -$9.76 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $9.57 | -$0.43 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $8.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 104.01 | $0.096 | $5.62 | -$4.38 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $5.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 28.93 | $0.346 | $5.08 | -$4.92 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 88.78 | $0.056 | $4.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $3.52 | -$1.48 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 45.72 | $0.087 | $1.19 | -$2.81 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.250 | $0.47 | -$2.53 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.79 | $0.560 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.034 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| buy |
| 58.34 |
| $0.017 |
| $1 |
| 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.089 | $1.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.029 | $1.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.230 | $1.53 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 88.78 | $0.056 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.460 | $5.61 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.260 | $6.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.148 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 28.92 | $0.346 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.148 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 36.83 | $0.890 | $32.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.629 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 25.97 | $0.760 | $19.74 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.800 | $10.26 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.380 | $1.27 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 21.15 | $0.095 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.949 | $5.21 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.860 | $10.48 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.625 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |