Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3.46 | +$0.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.840 | $2.72 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.3 |
| $0.910 |
| $3.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.630 | $1.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.087 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 22.47 |
| $0.033 |
| $0.74 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.910 | $2.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 3.96 | $0.785 | $3.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.087 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.089 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | sell | 1.39 | $0.791 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.38 | $0.710 | $0.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 16.65 | $0.080 | $1.33 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.120 | $16.36 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |