Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 3.63K | $0.936 | $3.55K | +$146.77 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 136.39 | $0.950 | $129.57 | May 13, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 2.53K |
| $0.051 |
| $128.71 |
| May 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 286.23 | $0.943 | $270 | May 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.932 | $2K | May 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.939 | $1K | May 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.093 | $200 | May 12, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.080 | $30 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 3.52K | $0.995 | $3.5K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.670 | $2.36K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.06K | $0.100 | $405.58 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.73K | $0.710 | $1.94K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 14.92 | $0.660 | $9.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 419.45 | $0.110 | $46.14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.73K | $0.550 | $1.5K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.64K | $0.110 | $400 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.950 | $1.95K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.940 | $1.92K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 2.19K | $0.880 | $1.92K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.810 | $1.77K | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | sell | 553.35 | $0.901 | $498.57 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 849.81 | $0.928 | $788.74 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | sell | 531.91 | $0.911 | $484.54 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | buy | 553.35 | $0.930 | $514.62 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.831 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 849.81 | $0.824 | $700 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.830 | $1K | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.200 | $5.48 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 313.08 | $0.160 | $50 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 992.69 | $0.010 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 341.67 | $0.029 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?Yes | buy | 374.37 | $0.374 | $140 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | sell | 391.63 | $0.276 | $108.24 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 724.63 | $0.276 | $200 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | sell | 81.08 | $0.111 | $9 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 621.02 | $0.630 | $391.24 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 621.03 | $0.161 | $100 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.220 | $294.74 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.225 | $540 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.784 | $1.05K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 70.83 | $0.240 | $17 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.037 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.239 | $300 | Sep 11, 2025 |