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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Yes | 2.3K | $0.958 | $1.94K | -$263.58 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 501.42 | $0.907 | $454.88 | 3h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 857.86 |
| $0.788 |
| $767.78 |
| +$92.07 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 804.89 | $0.780 | $704.28 | +$76.46 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | No | 710 | $0.969 | $688.35 | +$0.36 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.212 | $500.69 | +$256.39 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 487 | $0.796 | $421.26 | +$33.67 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? | No | 354.97 | $0.776 | $285.75 | +$10.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.740 | $149 | +$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.690 | $89 | -$49 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | No | 171.97 | $0.353 | $79.97 | +$19.3 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 229 | $0.524 | $74.43 | -$45.51 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 903 | $0.065 | $46.5 | -$12.44 |
 Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 200 | $0.520 | $37.6 | -$66.4 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 23.99 | $0.900 | $21.71 | +$0.12 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | Yes | 2.16 | $0.570 | $0.35 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 61.1 |
| $0.903 |
| $55.19 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?No | buy | 710 | $0.969 | $687.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.690 | $57.96 | 3d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 903 | $0.065 | $58.95 | 6d ago |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes | sell | 91.84 | $0.095 | $8.77 | 6d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.48 | $0.345 | $13.28 | 6d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.49 | $0.355 | $47.39 | 6d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 270.97 | $0.803 | $217.69 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 171.47 | $0.999 | $171.3 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 1?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.990 | $4.99 | 8d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Yes | sell | 64.59 | $0.210 | $13.56 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 30?No | sell | 16.1 | $0.999 | $16.08 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 30?No | sell | 14.96 | $0.999 | $14.95 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 30?No | sell | 6.68 | $0.999 | $6.67 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 30?No | sell | 28.51 | $0.999 | $28.48 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 30?No | sell | 8.52 | $0.999 | $8.51 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30?No | sell | 15.84 | $0.999 | $15.82 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.999 | $11.22 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.999 | $2.16 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?No | buy | 9.74 | $0.530 | $5.16 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.400 | $2.33 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.530 | $5.36 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 31?No | buy | 9.75 | $0.710 | $6.92 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.390 | $2.33 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.425 | $2.37 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.800 | $4.25 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.861 | $4.75 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.640 | $3.51 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.740 | $3.9 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.505 | $4.88 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.240 | $1.35 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.820 | $4.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.360 | $2.03 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.480 | $2.65 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.420 | $2.22 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.980 | $4.99 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 31?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.980 | $7.4 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 31?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.980 | $6.22 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 30?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.420 | $2.4 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 30?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.600 | $6.61 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 30?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.410 | $2.21 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 30?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.980 | $9.69 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 30?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.400 | $2.15 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 30?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.960 | $9.88 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 30?No | buy | 17.36 | $0.957 | $16.62 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 30?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.960 | $18.23 | 10d ago |