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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 377.34 | $0.400 | $16.98 | -$133.96 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 284.5 | $0.400 | $113.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.290 |
| $145 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 399 | $0.360 | $143.64 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.923 | $184.51 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?No | buy | 198.33 | $0.043 | $8.53 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?No | buy | 25.73 | $0.006 | $0.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?Yes | buy | 856.58 | $0.004 | $3.43 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 15?No | buy | 133.8 | $0.250 | $33.45 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 15?No | buy | 89.2 | $0.250 | $22.3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.62 | $0.350 | $43.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.87 | $0.130 | $4.27 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.999 | $44.96 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?Yes | sell | 49.6 | $0.999 | $49.55 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?Yes | sell | 149.88 | $0.999 | $149.73 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 149.76 | $0.940 | $140.78 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 29.22 | $0.650 | $19 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.987 | $148.05 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9?No | buy | 284.03 | $0.978 | $277.78 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 7?No | sell | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?No | buy | 195 | $0.960 | $187.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 28?No | buy | 350 | $0.033 | $11.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.017 | $0.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.053 | $10.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.960 | $33.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 17?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.997 | $0.43 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 30?Yes | buy | 314.88 | $0.983 | $309.53 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.046 | $22.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.999 | $55.49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?No | sell | 306.21 | $0.997 | $305.29 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.981 | $1.28K | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?No | buy | 306.21 | $0.033 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.990 | $1.3K | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 56.49 | $0.443 | $25 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?Yes | buy | 194.1 | $0.066 | $12.81 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.370 | $25 | Jan 27, 2026 |