Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.938 | $2.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4 |
| $0.999 |
| $4 |
| -$0 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.44 | $0.900 | $3.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.88 | $0.938 | $2.76 | +$0.06 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.15 | +$0.01 |
 Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.13 | $0.989 | $0.13 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 317.1 |
| $0.510 |
| $161.72 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.76 | $0.931 | $3.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.998 | $5.01 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.997 | $1.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.959 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bill Ackman say "Million" or "Billion 5+ times" during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.994 | $1.33 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Natalia Díaz Quintana win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.980 | $2.1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.995 | $1.26 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?No | buy | 124.33 | $0.563 | $70 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.986 | $1.05 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.877 | $1.67 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.964 | $1.13 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 944.6 | $0.997 | $941.77 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 944.68 | $0.998 | $942.79 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 945.62 | $0.997 | $942.78 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 945.62 | $0.998 | $943.73 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 946.57 | $0.997 | $943.73 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 946.57 | $0.998 | $944.68 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $4600 on August 22?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.982 | $1.11 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No | buy | 50.16 | $0.999 | $50.11 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will a candidate say "Columbus Day" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.985 | $1.02 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.992 | $1.11 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 1.18 | $0.870 | $1.03 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.960 | $1.12 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Was the captain of crashed Delta flight a woman?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.970 | $0.77 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.931 | $0.67 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.890 | $1.12 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 2024 October hottest on record?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.966 | $0.46 | Nov 8, 2024 |