Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 23.81 | $0.420 | $11.79 | +$1.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.440 |
| $11.48 |
| +$1.48 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10.74 | +$0.74 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 14.08 | $0.710 | $9.51 | -$0.49 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $6.75 | -$3.25 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 19.16 | $0.522 | $5.33 | -$4.67 |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
| buy |
| 54.55 |
| $0.550 |
| $30 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 37.22 | $0.537 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 33.55 | $0.298 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.2 | $0.077 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.522 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |