Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.990 |
| $1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.812 | $0.86 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $270 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.934 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 7, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.998 | $5.09 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by March 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.012 | $0.84 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 654 | $0.020 | $13.08 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.380 | $1.36K | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.29 | $0.966 | $8.97 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.364 | $1.11K | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.968 | $9 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.900 | $19.77 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 177.38 | $0.488 | $86.56 | Sep 11, 2024 |