Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 19.94 | $0.510 | $10.17 | Jul 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 20.48 |
| $0.500 |
| $10.24 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Grizzlies vs. KingsKings | buy | 33.25 | $0.520 | $17.29 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 17.29 | $0.604 | $10.44 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.998 | $3.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14.32K | $0.001 | $14.32 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14.46 | $0.990 | $14.32 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14.47 | $0.992 | $14.35 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 14.39 | $0.997 | $14.35 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.4 | $0.998 | $14.37 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 14.42 | $0.997 | $14.38 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 14.42 | $0.999 | $14.41 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 14.51 | $0.993 | $14.41 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14.52 | $0.994 | $14.43 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.46 | $0.998 | $14.43 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.45 | $0.999 | $14.44 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.996 | $14.43 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.997 | $14.45 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 14.5 | $0.997 | $14.46 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.998 | $14.48 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.51 | $0.998 | $14.48 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.999 | $14.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.34 | $0.450 | $6.45 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 14.34 | $0.540 | $7.74 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.66 | $0.998 | $14.63 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.66 | $0.999 | $14.65 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.996 | $14.65 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 14.72 | $0.998 | $14.69 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.998 | $14.68 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.999 | $14.7 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 14.73 | $0.998 | $14.7 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 14.73 | $0.999 | $14.72 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.77 | $0.997 | $14.73 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.78 | $0.998 | $14.75 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 14.74 | $0.999 | $14.73 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 14.76 | $0.998 | $14.73 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 14.76 | $0.999 | $14.75 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | sell | 14.86 | $0.993 | $14.76 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 14.87 | $0.994 | $14.78 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 14.8 | $0.998 | $14.77 | Jul 10, 2025 |