Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 9.95 | $0.804 | $8.44 | +$0.44 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.91 |
| $0.822 |
| $6.61 |
| +$0.11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 8.2 | $0.731 | $6.24 | +$0.24 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.71 | $0.745 | $5.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 4.53 | $0.663 | $3.44 | +$0.44 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 4.01 | $0.623 | $3.19 | +$0.69 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 2.25 | $0.887 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.27 |
| $0.790 |
| $1 |
| 9h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 9h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.720 | $0.75 | 10h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 10h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.200 | $0.41 | 10h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 10h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 10h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.120 | $0.57 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.330 | $0.65 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.370 | $1.09 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.887 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.831 | $2 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.130 | $0.93 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 5.64 | $0.700 | $3.95 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.08 | $0.863 | $13.01 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 4.06 | $0.989 | $4.02 | 15d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.97 | $0.988 | $4.91 | 15d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.985 | $2.66 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.757 | $2 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.989 | $4.49 | 23d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.687 | $2 | 26d ago |