Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 225 | $0.080 | $29.81 | +$11.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | sell | 261.9 | $0.030 | $7.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 25.42 |
| $0.590 |
| $12.33 |
| -$2.67 |
| buy |
| 261.9 |
| $0.420 |
| $110 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 461.29 | $0.999 | $460.83 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 85.47 | $0.117 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.151 | $300 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Yes | buy | 410.49 | $0.098 | $40.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.848 | $11.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 32.46 | $0.920 | $29.86 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 461.29 | $0.930 | $429 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.890 | $11.55 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | buy | 82.33 | $0.121 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.360 | $75 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.210 | $25 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 441.62 | $0.690 | $304.72 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.972 | $31.35 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.960 | $120 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 14.19 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 22.08 | $0.040 | $0.88 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 117.16 | $0.085 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 14.18 | $0.141 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.237 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 135.45 | $0.155 | $20.99 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.060 | $2.31 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 120.84 | $0.750 | $90.63 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.990 | $26.75 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 95.51 | $0.262 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 246.42 | $0.788 | $194.18 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 441.62 | $0.226 | $99.95 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.09 | $0.292 | $6.46 | Oct 30, 2025 |