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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.025 | $646 | +$546 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.107 | $22.29 | 10h ago |
 |
| No |
| 610.34 |
| $0.614 |
| $521.84 |
| +$146.84 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 362.32 | $0.690 | $289.86 | +$39.86 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 373.13 | $0.670 | $277.99 | +$27.99 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 584.41 | $0.642 | $260.06 | -$114.93 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 450.3 | $0.555 | $243.16 | -$6.84 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.550 | $143.18 | -$6.82 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 132.95 | $0.752 | $90.4 | -$9.6 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 208.32 | $0.240 | $62.5 | +$12.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 147.08 | $0.680 | $61.04 | -$38.97 |
| buy |
| 9.4 |
| $0.680 |
| $6.39 |
| 1d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 308.64 | $0.860 | $265.43 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 137.68 | $0.680 | $93.62 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 132.95 | $0.752 | $100 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 244.92 | $0.408 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.550 | $150 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | 6d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 449.34 | $0.004 | $1.8 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 337.83 | $0.007 | $2.42 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | sell | 300 | $0.028 | $8.28 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.550 | $125 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 362.32 | $0.690 | $250 | 11d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 862.06 | $0.095 | $82.05 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 237.92 | $0.525 | $125 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 909.1 | $0.090 | $81.82 | 15d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 420.58 | $0.979 | $411.75 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 183.91 | $0.580 | $106.67 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 450.3 | $0.555 | $250 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 862.07 | $0.290 | $250 | 18d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 343.82 | $0.708 | $243.42 | 18d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 337.84 | $0.740 | $250 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 276.82 | $0.966 | $267.36 | 19d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 481.62 | $0.009 | $4.33 | 21d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 248.16 | $0.806 | $200 | 21d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 330.41 | $0.757 | $250 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 481.62 | $0.519 | $250 | 22d ago |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 988.47 | $0.910 | $899.51 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 276.83 | $0.750 | $207.62 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.320 | $123.08 | 28d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 110.76 | $0.924 | $102.33 | 28d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.750 | $9.41 | 28d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 865.17 | $0.747 | $646.24 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 373.13 | $0.670 | $250 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.390 | $150 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.037 | $24.78 | 28d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 316.75 | $0.789 | $250 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 171.23 | $0.991 | $169.67 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 211.17 | $0.882 | $186.24 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 171.23 | $0.730 | $125 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 191.09 | $0.999 | $190.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 191.09 | $0.654 | $125 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 425.53 | $0.470 | $200 | Aug 5, 2026 |