Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 30.47 | $0.650 | $28.49 | +$8.68 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30.01 |
| $0.660 |
| $25.96 |
| +$6.15 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 23.86 | $0.830 | $23.13 | +$3.33 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 23.58 | $0.840 | $22.28 | +$2.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 16.26 | $0.620 | $10.65 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.22 | $0.555 | $5.93 | -$0.86 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.480 | $5.13 | +$0.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.460 | $4.91 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.24 | $0.450 | $3.59 | +$0.33 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 32.47 | $0.610 | $3.08 | -$16.72 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.240 | $1.85 | -$0.55 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.05 | $0.570 | $1.51 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.210 | $0.95 | -$0.52 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.45 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 6.14 |
| $0.264 |
| $1.62 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 14.21 | $0.680 | $9.66 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 14.2 | $0.710 | $10.08 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.26 | $0.620 | $10.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.280 | $3.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.570 | $1.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.700 | $1.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.987 | $1.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.450 | $3.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.340 | $4.93 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.790 | $9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.740 | $1.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.580 | $7.08 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.555 | $6.79 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.750 | $9.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 30.01 | $0.660 | $19.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 41.35 | $0.480 | $19.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.804 | $19.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 30.01 | $0.660 | $19.81 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 32.47 | $0.610 | $19.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.86 | $0.830 | $19.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 24.15 | $0.820 | $19.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 23.86 | $0.830 | $19.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 63.88 | $0.310 | $19.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 30.47 | $0.650 | $19.81 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 31.44 | $0.630 | $19.81 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 23.58 | $0.840 | $19.81 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 26.06 | $0.760 | $19.81 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 30.95 | $0.640 | $19.81 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 32.47 | $0.610 | $19.81 | Feb 24, 2026 |