Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 91.58 | $0.546 | $78.3 | +$28.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 48.88 | $0.982 | $48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 71.01 |
| $0.692 |
| $67.28 |
| +$18.16 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76.63 | $0.250 | $63.61 | +$44.45 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 48.58 | $0.917 | $48.53 | +$3.96 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.41 | $0.880 | $26.28 | +$1.28 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 25.64 | $0.390 | $25.63 | +$15.63 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.590 | $17.22 | -$65.38 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.5 | $0.957 | $11.49 | +$0.49 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.34 | $0.970 | $11.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10.92 | $0.959 | $10.92 | +$0.44 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10.7 | $0.966 | $10.69 | +$0.36 |
 Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 10.68 | $0.936 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.500 | $9.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 17.86 | $0.560 | $8.48 | -$1.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.18 | $0.630 | $5.46 | +$0.93 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.190 | $3.68 | +$1.68 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.200 | $3 | -$5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 2.66 | $0.993 | $2.65 | +$0.01 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 2.65 | $0.987 | $2.63 | +$0.01 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2.51 | $0.730 | $2.39 | +$0.56 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2.65 | $0.840 | $2.35 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 5.11 |
| $0.979 |
| $5 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 57.92 | $0.998 | $57.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 112.99 | $0.998 | $112.76 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.909 | $27.35 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 7.8 | $0.926 | $7.22 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.28 | $0.701 | $19.12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.900 | $6.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.977 | $6.44 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.985 | $118.19 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 244.8 | $0.985 | $241.13 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 9.35 | $0.993 | $9.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 7.8 | $0.993 | $7.75 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 7.79 | $0.994 | $7.74 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 7.8 | $0.994 | $7.75 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.910 | $7.37 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 9.35 | $0.994 | $9.29 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.929 | $19.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 269.4 | $0.928 | $250 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 7.79 | $0.994 | $7.74 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.928 | $25.06 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.929 | $22.3 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 119.99 | $0.929 | $111.47 | May 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 31.93 | $0.901 | $28.77 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 18.31 | $0.899 | $16.46 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.904 | $18.1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 47.98 | $0.934 | $44.81 | May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.940 | $17.86 | May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 148.94 | $0.940 | $140 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 12.64 | $0.999 | $12.63 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 12.36 | $0.999 | $12.35 | May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.893 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.893 | $15.75 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 156.6 | $0.894 | $140 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.974 | $100.32 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |