Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | Yes | 80 | $0.738 | $67.28 | +$8.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.183 | $6.1 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 70 |
| $0.680 |
| $52.15 |
| +$4.55 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 36 | $0.480 | $5.58 | -$11.7 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.185 | $2.12 | -$7.14 |
| buy |
| 36 |
| $0.480 |
| $17.28 |
| 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.998 | $69.86 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.820 | $65.6 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.680 | $47.6 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 74.9 | $0.738 | $55.28 | 26d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.1 | $0.773 | $37.18 | 26d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.930 | $88.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.981 | $294.38 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.952 | $142.79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 119.99 | $0.994 | $119.3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 119.99 | $0.896 | $107.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.969 | $290.71 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.930 | $139.46 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 20 | $0.504 | $10.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.723 | $72.27 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.884 | $132.6 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 196.25 | $0.526 | $103.15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 71.11 | $0.550 | $39.11 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 78.04 | $0.739 | $57.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.488 | $170.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.834 | $250.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | sell | 400 | $0.460 | $184 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.658 | $65.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 400 | $0.450 | $180 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.948 | $142.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.750 | $120 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.733 | $109.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 150 | $0.825 | $123.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 157.08 | $0.790 | $124.09 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.640 | $64.05 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.900 | $70.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 114.91 | $0.810 | $93.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.597 | $107.48 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | sell | 74.81 | $0.908 | $67.9 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.009 | $0.13 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.608 | $60.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.022 | $0.33 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 387 | $0.860 | $332.82 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.829 | $49.75 | May 28, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 448 | $0.788 | $352.92 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | buy | 74.81 | $0.740 | $55.36 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 233.2 | $0.854 | $199.22 | May 11, 2026 |