Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.91K | $0.480 | $1.78K | +$865.28 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.050 | $1.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 821 |
| $0.636 |
| $751.22 |
| +$229.35 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | No | 752 | $0.780 | $545.2 | -$41.36 |
 Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 641 | $0.750 | $158.65 | -$322.1 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 104 | $0.259 | $78.26 | +$51.32 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 274 | $0.552 | $18.91 | -$132.34 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Yes | 156 | $0.140 | $3.51 | -$18.33 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 49 | $0.160 | $2.18 | -$5.66 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 27 | $0.916 | $1.8 | -$22.94 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.087 | $0.86 | -$0.18 |
 Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.160 | $0.47 | -$0.02 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.170 | $0.18 | -$0.5 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.370 | $0.14 | -$0.98 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.170 | $0.07 | -$0.1 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.044 | $0.06 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 826 |
| $0.300 |
| $247.8 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes | sell | 248 | $0.040 | $9.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.090 | $15.39 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.600 | $13.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No | sell | 137 | $0.670 | $91.79 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.210 | $217.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | sell | 486 | $0.280 | $136.08 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 310 | $0.870 | $269.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 314 | $0.870 | $273.18 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 243 | $0.320 | $77.76 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 255 | $0.320 | $81.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 435 | $0.640 | $278.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | buy | 486 | $0.430 | $208.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 752 | $0.780 | $586.56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 624 | $0.790 | $492.96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 498 | $0.520 | $258.96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?No | sell | 916 | $0.760 | $696.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?No | sell | 940 | $0.760 | $714.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?No | sell | 964 | $0.760 | $732.64 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.160 | $16.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?No | sell | 661 | $0.240 | $158.64 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.240 | $84 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?No | sell | 559 | $0.310 | $173.29 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No | sell | 568 | $0.260 | $147.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.220 | $3.74 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No | buy | 78 | $0.850 | $66.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?No | buy | 559 | $0.590 | $329.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.730 | $2.06K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?No | sell | 69 | $0.650 | $44.85 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 216 | $0.140 | $30.24 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.140 | $157.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.140 | $176.54 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.210 | $2.73 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.220 | $2.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?No | buy | 69 | $0.680 | $46.92 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 357 | $0.630 | $224.91 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.150 | $390.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No | buy | 101 | $0.870 | $87.87 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 826 | $0.580 | $479.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 637 | $0.370 | $235.69 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 640 | $0.370 | $236.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No | buy | 568 | $0.790 | $448.72 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 659 | $0.720 | $474.48 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 501 | $0.530 | $265.53 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 543 | $0.530 | $287.79 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 587 | $0.510 | $299.37 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.120 | $8.16 | Apr 11, 2026 |