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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.438 | $332.74 | -$196.83 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 168.67 | $0.059 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 95.24 |
| $0.210 |
| $13.81 |
| -$6.19 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 168.67 | $0.059 | $13.75 | +$3.75 |
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | No | 21.1 | $0.474 | $3.09 | -$6.91 |
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 81.77 | $0.122 | $2.53 | -$7.47 |
| buy |
| 208.33 |
| $0.048 |
| $10 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.474 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 216.39 | $0.012 | $2.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 318.05 | $0.046 | $14.63 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 312.5 | $0.053 | $16.58 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 318.05 | $0.157 | $50 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 8.69K | $0.001 | $8.69 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.005 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.006 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 191.88 | $0.052 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 5.08K | $0.004 | $19.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 120.48 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | sell | 113.88 | $0.002 | $0.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Yes | sell | 127.61 | $0.012 | $1.51 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.640 | $98.51 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 425.69 | $0.240 | $102.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.006 | $0.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | buy | 113.89 | $0.088 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 81.77 | $0.122 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 216.39 | $0.046 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.720 | $10.28 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 65.77 | $0.054 | $3.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Yes | buy | 616.4 | $0.162 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.981 | $196.2 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.083 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.001 | $1.67 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 666.66 | $0.002 | $1.33 | May 30, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 263.15 | $0.780 | $205.26 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Yes | buy | 127.62 | $0.078 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |