Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 40.03 | $0.070 | $21.02 | +$18.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.387 |
| $9.3 |
| +$5.43 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $5.25 | +$3.55 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.430 | $5.05 | +$0.75 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.062 | $3.45 | -$2.75 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.021 | $2.45 | +$0.35 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | $0.220 | $2.3 | +$0.1 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $2 | +$0.2 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.013 | $1.95 | -$1.85 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.330 | $1.3 | -$2 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $1.15 | -$0.55 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 19.97 | $0.080 | $1.05 | -$0.55 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.9 | -$0.2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.450 | $0.23 | -$4.77 |
 Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 20 | $0.060 | $0.07 | -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.330 |
| $3.3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.163 | $1.63 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | sell | 54.74 | $0.039 | $2.13 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.684 | $6.84 | May 7, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.790 | $11.61 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.032 | $0.48 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.032 | $0.32 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.062 | $6.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Yes | sell | 49.26 | $0.033 | $1.63 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Yes | sell | 17.3 | $0.043 | $0.74 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.133 | $2.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.94 | $0.470 | $4.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.394 | $0.67 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.040 | $0.47 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.034 | $0.68 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.150 | $2.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.280 | $4.83 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.387 | $3.87 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.014 | $2.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | sell | 3.66 | $0.310 | $1.13 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 3.63 | $0.270 | $0.98 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.570 | $3.25 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.550 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.410 | $3.79 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.420 | $3.82 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |