Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 56.33 | $0.976 | $54.66 | -$0.31 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.940 | $2.88 | Apr 27, 2026 |
![]() |
| No |
| 8.17 |
| $0.979 |
| $8.04 |
| +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 5.09 |
| $0.982 |
| $5 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 7.68 | $0.974 | $7.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 64.01 | $0.976 | $62.47 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 17.21 | $0.988 | $17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?No | buy | 22.71 | $0.969 | $22 | Jan 21, 2026 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.979 | $8 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 27.08 | $0.997 | $27 | Dec 15, 2025 |
US strike on Syria by December 19?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Dec 15, 2025 |
US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 28.34 | $0.847 | $24 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?No | buy | 34.94 | $0.998 | $34.87 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 46.05 | $0.999 | $46 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.990 | $30 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 56.03 | $0.917 | $51.38 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 54.84 | $0.930 | $51 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?No | buy | 104.18 | $0.998 | $104 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 24?No | buy | 55.34 | $0.994 | $55 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will valid votes be more than 6.2 million in Bolivia election?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.979 | $7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | sell | 137.31 | $0.903 | $124.01 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.964 | $7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?No | buy | 78.16 | $0.998 | $78 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.999 | $2.19K | May 28, 2025 |
Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | sell | 6.76K | $0.998 | $6.75K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 8.91K | $0.997 | $8.88K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Girona FC win La Liga?No | sell | 5.21K | $0.998 | $5.19K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | buy | 6.76K | $0.999 | $6.76K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 8.91K | $0.998 | $8.89K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Girona FC win La Liga?No | buy | 5.21K | $0.999 | $5.2K | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Trump Media invest in $TRUMP before March?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.988 | $12.43 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Dogecoin all time high by January 31?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.976 | $4 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?Yes | buy | 14.58 | $0.960 | $14 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.927 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Megaquake in January?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Election certified on January 6?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.970 | $0.88 | Dec 3, 2024 |