Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.53K | $0.814 | $2.37K | +$306.85 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.003 | $0.9 | 22d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.6K |
| $0.890 |
| $1.48K |
| +$56 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.570 | $1.38K | +$179.01 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6.94K | $0.600 | $1.21K | -$2.95K |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.71K | $0.570 | $1.1K | +$128.22 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 877.1 | $0.651 | $771.85 | +$200.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.589 | $718.43 | +$118.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.590 | $715 | +$125 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 500.01 | $0.900 | $477.51 | +$27.5 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.6K | $0.016 | $399.68 | +$47.56 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 366.48 | $0.317 | $284.02 | +$167.98 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? | No | 230.98 | $0.747 | $215.97 | +$43.39 |
 Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $31.5 | +$3.5 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.4 |
| 22d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.570 | $974.49 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 64.89 | $0.570 | $36.99 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.520 | $1.04K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15.49K | $0.016 | $247.89 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 466.31 | $0.093 | $43.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 494.54 | $0.092 | $45.39 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 511.51 | $0.978 | $500 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | sell | 1K | $0.037 | $36.54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.530 | $10.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 101.67 | $0.590 | $59.99 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.890 | $1.42K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.001 | $1.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 264.45 | $0.996 | $263.39 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.740 | $26.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.1 | $0.730 | $10.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 645 | $0.750 | $483.66 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.798 | $32.13 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.781 | $927.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.800 | $1.54 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.132 | $52.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 999.98 | $0.027 | $26.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.480 | $192 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 121.07 | $0.826 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 134.05 | $0.186 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 42.08 | $0.220 | $9.26 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 55.56 | $0.450 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.910 | $3.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.640 | $320 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 800 | $0.830 | $664 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 381.66 | $0.700 | $267.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No | buy | 750 | $0.747 | $560.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.950 | $53.74 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 201.97 | $0.124 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 168.22 | $0.594 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 208.33 | $0.470 | $97.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 100.53 | $0.249 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 92.59 | $0.270 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 217.96 | $0.115 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |