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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.12 | $0.390 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.53 |
| $0.396 |
| $2.15 |
| +$1.15 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.4 | +$0.4 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.197 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.069 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.69 | $0.271 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.075 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 6.76 | $0.148 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | No | 13.7 | $0.073 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10.26 | $0.098 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| buy |
| 27.03 |
| $0.037 |
| $1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.148 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.18 | $0.098 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.115 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 16?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.23 | $0.076 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.45 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.046 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.098 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.418 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.197 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.396 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.344 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.388 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.271 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.167 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |