Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 371.82 | $0.845 | $317.91 | +$3.63 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 14h ago |
 |
| No |
| 276.96 |
| $0.950 |
| $261.73 |
| -$1.38 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 535.8 | $0.595 | $238.43 | -$80.4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 388.34 | $0.610 | $180.58 | -$56.4 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 169.98 | $0.784 | $136.41 | +$3.13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 704.6 | $0.150 | $109.21 | +$3.52 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 95.97 | $0.850 | $79.8 | -$1.75 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 73.97 | $0.897 | $65.2 | -$1.13 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 877.35 | $0.050 | $56.59 | +$12.7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 143.58 | $0.310 | $40.92 | -$3.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 223.75 | $0.196 | $39.16 | -$4.7 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 40.47 | $0.845 | $34.05 | -$0.15 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 324.82 | $0.105 | $32.32 | -$1.79 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 48.27 | $0.603 | $26.79 | -$2.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 177.46 | $0.146 | $25.64 | -$0.24 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 27.24 | $0.863 | $25.2 | +$1.7 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 24.97 | $0.950 | $23.6 | -$0.12 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 52.97 | $0.360 | $23.57 | +$4.5 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 90.85 | $0.391 | $23.17 | -$12.35 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 351.75 | $0.077 | $22.86 | -$4.11 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.073 | $22.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 135.45 | $0.193 | $22.35 | -$3.85 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 25.99 | $0.827 | $21.96 | +$0.48 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 22.97 | $0.953 | $21.84 | -$0.06 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 885.6 | $0.025 | $21.7 | -$0.44 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.290 |
| $3.19 |
| 19h ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.930 | $4.75 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.070 | $3.71 | 1d ago |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 1d ago |
 Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 25.75 | $0.040 | $1.03 | 1d ago |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.910 | $4.73 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | 1d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.500 | $13.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.050 | $2.38 | 1d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 44.41 | $0.926 | $41.12 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 149.86 | $0.850 | $127.38 | 1d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 41.22 | $0.073 | $3.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 55.13 | $0.940 | $51.82 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.142 | $1.08 | 2d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.070 | $3.22 | 2d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 15.19 | $0.810 | $12.3 | 2d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.070 | $1.12 | 2d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.850 | $4.42 | 3d ago |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.920 | $5.29 | 3d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.850 | $4.76 | 3d ago |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 84.03 | $0.100 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.070 | $1.12 | 3d ago |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.350 | $2.31 | 3d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.150 | $1.11 | 4d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.060 | $1.74 | 4d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.070 | $1.33 | 4d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 101.36 | $0.147 | $14.9 | 4d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.950 | $17.29 | 4d ago |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.992 | $3.98 | 5d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.024 | $1.92 | 5d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.142 | $1.08 | 5d ago |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.25 | $0.064 | $1.04 | 5d ago |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.400 | $2.1 | 5d ago |
 Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.600 | $3.05 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.150 | $22.5 | 6d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.8 | $0.150 | $7.02 | 6d ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 4.75 | $0.360 | $1.71 | 6d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.995 | $4.99 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | 6d ago |
| Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 40.87 | $0.106 | $4.33 | 6d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.360 | $1.89 | 6d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.201 | $2.87 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 6d ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.185 | $1.88 | 6d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.410 | $2.87 | 6d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.460 | $7.13 | 6d ago |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 495 | $0.008 | $3.96 | 6d ago |