Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 30.05 | $0.832 | $29.13 | +$4.13 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 24.33 |
| $0.822 |
| $22.75 |
| +$2.75 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 23.84 | $0.923 | $22.52 | +$0.52 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10.38 | $0.963 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.55 | $0.795 | $6.45 | +$0.45 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5.87 | +$0.87 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | $0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.42 | $0.703 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.67 | $0.957 | $15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.963 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.703 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.946 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.982 | $30 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.950 | $9.97 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |