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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.330 | $552.88 | -$336.12 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 499.88 | $0.100 | $49.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 914.48 |
| $0.130 |
| $146.32 |
| +$26.99 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.120 | $5.25 | -$30.75 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.750 |
| $37.5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 104.07 | $0.750 | $78.05 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 399.1 | $0.025 | $9.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 70 | $0.680 | $47.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.640 | $41.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Yes | buy | 200.03 | $0.659 | $131.86 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.330 | $857 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.060 | $24 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.070 | $28 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.670 | $7.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 139.03 | $0.100 | $13.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 799.99 | $0.370 | $296 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.016 | $4.42 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.356 | $3.84 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.660 | $10.31 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.41 | $0.630 | $14.75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.098 | $2.94 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 591.91 | $0.301 | $178.35 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 191.91 | $0.520 | $99.79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 300 | $0.024 | $7.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 140 | $0.601 | $84.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 65.89 | $0.590 | $38.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 294.16 | $0.610 | $179.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 9.45 | $0.600 | $5.67 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.560 | $23.52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 74.69 | $0.322 | $24.05 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 54.9 | $0.335 | $18.39 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 574.98 | $0.380 | $218.49 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 909.53 | $0.394 | $358.35 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.63 | $0.380 | $39.76 | Feb 24, 2026 |