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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.998 | $9.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No| buy |
| 10.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $10 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.997 | $9.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.37 | $0.976 | $15.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.38 | $0.977 | $16 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?No | sell | 15.06 | $0.994 | $14.97 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 12.36 | $0.932 | $11.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.935 | $11.56 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 32.16 | $0.994 | $31.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 32.16 | $0.995 | $32 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 30.03 | $0.998 | $29.96 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jun 7, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.999 | $16.88 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?Yes | sell | 45.04 | $0.998 | $44.95 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?Yes | buy | 45.05 | $0.999 | $45 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 20.04 | $0.999 | $20.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 10.23 | $0.999 | $10.22 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.92 | $0.844 | $10.9 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.93 | $0.851 | $11 | May 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 39.51 | $0.986 | $38.96 | May 21, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 39.51 | $0.987 | $39 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 13.05 | $0.676 | $8.82 | May 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.955 | $9.99 | May 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.766 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 57.11 | $0.997 | $56.94 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 57.11 | $0.998 | $57 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 58.18 | $0.943 | $54.86 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 58.19 | $0.945 | $55 | May 3, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | sell | 30.17 | $0.993 | $29.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 30.17 | $0.994 | $29.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 51.07 | $0.977 | $49.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 51.07 | $0.979 | $50 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.28 | $0.400 | $0.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.995 | $0.1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50.05 | $0.995 | $49.8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.996 | $0.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.995 | $0.57 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?No | sell | 103.1 | $0.996 | $102.69 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?No | buy | 103.21 | $0.998 | $103 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.994 | $14.92 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No | buy | 15.04 | $0.997 | $15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No | sell | 26.05 | $0.996 | $25.95 | Feb 12, 2026 |