Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.560 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 55.56 |
| $0.018 |
| $1.47 |
| +$0.47 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.842 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.913 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.93 | -$0.08 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.85 | $0.206 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.28 | $0.047 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
 Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.190 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.250 | $0.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.390 | $0.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.206 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.540 | $0.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.560 | $0.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.288 | $0.96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.842 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.913 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |