Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.56 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.56 |
| Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 4.87 | $0.230 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.770 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.979 | $1.6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.994 | $1.4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.990 | $1.24 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.961 | $1.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.990 | $1.27 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.996 | $1.44 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.945 | $1.21 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.980 | $1.34 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.964 | $1.37 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.930 | $1.29 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.989 | $1.47 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.949 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.954 | $1.3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.962 | $8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.985 | $4.6 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 502.5 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 933.16 | $0.880 | $821.18 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.986 | $5.6 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.372 | $1.86 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in July?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.998 | $3.21 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.994 | $4.87 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.988 | $5.3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.953 | $5.6 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.015 | $30.06 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 31.64 | $0.950 | $30.06 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.495 | $1.04K | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.496 | $1.04K | Oct 3, 2024 |