Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?No | buy | 676.25 | $0.739 | $499.99 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 58.36 |
| $0.770 |
| $44.94 |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.650 | $20.31 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 76.13 | $0.630 | $47.96 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 76.14 | $0.590 | $44.92 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No | buy | 398.74 | $0.660 | $263.17 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No | sell | 55.76 | $0.780 | $43.49 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No | buy | 31.4 | $0.530 | $16.64 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.640 | $16.64 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No | buy | 24.37 | $0.520 | $12.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 45.25 | $0.280 | $12.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Linda McMahon for Commerce Secretary?Yes | buy | 68.76 | $0.780 | $53.63 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 44.93 | $0.668 | $30 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 43.92 | $0.102 | $4.47 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.170 | $4.47 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 9.73 | $0.110 | $1.07 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.163 | $1.07 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.815 | $43.02 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.801 | $16.02 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 121.88 | $0.820 | $100 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 84.37 | $0.650 | $54.84 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Chad Wolf for Homeland Security Secretary?Yes | sell | 323.52 | $0.010 | $3.24 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Chad Wolf for Homeland Security Secretary?Yes | buy | 323.53 | $0.031 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 47.3 | $0.709 | $33.53 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 26.25 | $0.800 | $21 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 106.12 | $0.780 | $82.77 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 52.95 | $0.390 | $20.65 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.590 | $20.65 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 17.51 | $0.790 | $13.83 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes | sell | 13.96 | $0.930 | $12.98 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 75.72 | $0.780 | $59.06 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for Agriculture Secretary?No | sell | 64.2 | $0.920 | $59.06 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 44.1 | $0.780 | $34.4 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 76.58 | $0.653 | $50 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 88.06 | $0.960 | $84.54 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.930 | $84.54 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 202.53 | $0.850 | $172.15 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 147.88 | $0.968 | $143.15 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.986 | $29 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?No | buy | 85.89 | $0.740 | $63.54 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 64.12 | $0.991 | $63.54 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 13.96 | $0.810 | $11.31 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.013 | $2.17 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 435.38 | $0.021 | $9.14 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 45.26 | $0.270 | $12.22 | Nov 8, 2024 |