Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.9 | $0.726 | $0.77 | +$0.12 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 69 | $0.969 | $66.86 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 115 |
| $0.969 |
| $111.44 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.220 | $27.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 125 | $0.930 | $116.25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.930 | $116.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 114 | $0.930 | $106.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 114 | $0.930 | $106.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.063 | $7.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 159 | $0.730 | $116.07 | Jun 20, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.080 | $13.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.190 | $3.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.720 | $104.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 126 | $0.910 | $114.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 126 | $0.910 | $114.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 108 | $0.963 | $104 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 108 | $0.963 | $104 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 281 | $0.410 | $115.21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.251 | $14.31 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 233 | $0.160 | $37.28 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 305 | $0.160 | $48.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 311 | $0.350 | $108.85 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.975 | $37.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 136 | $0.370 | $50.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 115 | $0.934 | $107.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 284 | $0.390 | $110.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 124 | $0.974 | $120.78 | Jun 10, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.975 | $44.85 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 136 | $0.975 | $132.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 124 | $0.976 | $121.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 71 | $0.987 | $70.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.960 | $42.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.960 | $42.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 266 | $0.500 | $133 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 136 | $0.963 | $130.97 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 172 | $0.690 | $118.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 165 | $0.804 | $132.66 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 165 | $0.800 | $132 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 123 | $0.978 | $120.29 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.012 | $0.43 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.013 | $1.73 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.044 | $11.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 130 | $0.989 | $128.57 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 130 | $0.988 | $128.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 268 | $0.480 | $128.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 268 | $0.480 | $128.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 118 | $0.987 | $116.47 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.580 | $22.04 | May 26, 2026 |