Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 128.97 | $0.043 | $4.51 | -$0.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.023 | $1.61 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.33 |
| -$0.47 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 60 | $0.160 | $2.31 | -$7.29 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $1.35 | -$0.45 |
 Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.330 | $1.18 | -$5.42 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.130 | $0.95 | -$1.65 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.180 | $0.83 | -$8.18 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $0.63 | -$1.57 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.035 | $0.6 | -$0.8 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Yes | 13.85 | $0.080 | $0.37 | -$0.74 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.200 | $0.08 | -$3.92 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.430 |
| $12.9 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.145 | $1.45 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.126 | $1.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.137 | $2.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.265 | $7.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.24 | $0.490 | $13.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.063 | $1.89 | May 21, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | May 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.140 | $1.16 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.014 | $1.26 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.016 | $2.7 | May 6, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | May 5, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 8.05K | $0.001 | $8.05 | May 4, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.330 | $2.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | May 3, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | May 3, 2026 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.021 | $1.26 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.52 | $0.038 | $1.43 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.035 | $0.39 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.002 | $4.78 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.003 | $4.98 | May 3, 2026 |