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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 5.88 | $0.016 | $0.09 | Dec 18, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 1.96 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.16 |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 16.71 | $0.013 | $0.22 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.026 | $0.29 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.005 | $0.07 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.190 | $0.34 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.026 | $0.44 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.080 | $0.57 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.021 | $0.63 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.760 | $0.82 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.410 | $0.84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.730 | $0.87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.750 | $0.89 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will MrBeast change his X profile picture by December 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.850 | $0.89 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in December?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.860 | $0.94 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.041 | $0.93 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.370 | $0.95 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.690 | $0.97 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.887 | $0.98 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.890 | $0.97 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.962 | $0.98 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.994 | $0.99 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.530 | $1.04 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.380 | $1.03 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.038 | $1.03 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.546 | $1.08 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.210 | $1.17 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Meta (META) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | sell | 77.7 | $0.008 | $0.65 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.951 | $1.28 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.510 | $1.62 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | sell | 50.88 | $0.021 | $1.07 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.810 | $1.84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.784 | $1.91 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.163 | $3.13 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 16.14 | $0.250 | $4.04 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | sell | 19.95 | $0.170 | $3.39 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.310 | $4.84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.67 | $0.720 | $5.52 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.240 | $5.71 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.750 | $4.69 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.966 | $5.03 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.52 | $0.870 | $5.67 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 12.67 | $0.480 | $6.08 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.590 | $7.56 | Dec 18, 2025 |