Analytics
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain their displayed source snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Manifestation13 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,554,254 in the provider leaderboard observation. As of Sep 23, 6:24 AM UTC the record shows -$92.52 observed lifetime PnL, $102.71K of traded volume.
Separate provider observations show 74 distinct markets traded, 50 resolved positions in the returned sample, a 48.0% win rate in that sample. Their observation times and coverage are shown with the profile data.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x429cb484100dcc7f71e4f910b5a3a884717e490b
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Provider leaderboard position in the displayed source observation. This is not an Observed 80K membership rank; the provider population size is unavailable.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
What this trader is holding
The record above is open to everyone. Essential opens the book: every open position, its size, what it cost and what it is worth now.
Where the money was actually made
Essential breaks the record down by category: realised P&L, volume, trade count and win rate in each one.
Every trade this wallet made
Essential opens the tape — fill by fill, with size, price and the market each one was in.
Lifetime dollar volume traded in the same snapshot. PnL divided by volume is a turnover ratio, not investment return: the same capital can be traded repeatedly.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation. Zero is shown only when the source reports zero; an unavailable value stays unavailable.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and resolved positions returned by the provider. A bounded resolved-position sample is not a lifetime total, and breadth alone does not establish skill.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.