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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 36.38 | $0.961 | $34.96 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 36.38 |
| $0.962 |
| $35 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 55.09 | $0.961 | $52.94 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.09 | $0.962 | $53 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 364.18 | $0.986 | $359.08 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.291 | $359.08 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.330 | $407.47 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 413.68 | $0.985 | $407.47 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 413.68 | $0.986 | $407.89 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 414.52 | $0.984 | $407.89 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.960 | $0.4 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.820 | $0.9 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump release medical records before the election?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.945 | $14.17 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out before Trump's RNC speech?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 US bank failure by June 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will Germany win?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.590 | $1.5 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will Slovenia win?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.470 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Will Germany win?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Will Denmark win?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 16, 2024 |
 NVIDIA largest company before July?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 16, 2024 |
 LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Jun 16, 2024 |