Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.071 | $51.5 | -$19.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.080 | $16 | May 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.350 |
| $38.5 |
| +$3.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.150 | $11 | -$19 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $5.6 | -$0.4 |
| sell |
| 25.86 |
| $0.550 |
| $14.22 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 174.14 | $0.574 | $99.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.012 | $2.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.045 | $8.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.016 | $3.22 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.440 | $202.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.127 | $12.69 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?Yes | sell | 418.83 | $0.999 | $418.41 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Starmer out in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.2K | $0.070 | $154 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | sell | 299.96 | $0.040 | $11.9 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?Yes | buy | 308.83 | $0.420 | $129.71 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.130 | $186.76 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 9.42K | $0.001 | $9.42 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.180 | $18.9 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 50K | $0.003 | $150 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 8.57K | $0.002 | $17.15 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Khotin before July?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.018 | $0.13 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.937 | $196.77 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.936 | $38.38 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?No | buy | 16.03K | $0.001 | $16.03 | May 1, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May?Yes | sell | 499.98 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.996 | $2.59K | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.272 | $27.17 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | sell | 2.3K | $0.021 | $47.56 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.010 | $26.13 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk before December?Yes | sell | 111.51 | $0.011 | $1.21 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 402.34 | $0.011 | $4.43 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.005 | $9.84 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 699.5 | $0.021 | $14.69 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.022 | $0.11 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.024 | $0.21 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.089 | $222.66 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.089 | $89 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Yes | buy | 122.94 | $0.100 | $12.29 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | sell | 288.7 | $0.975 | $281.48 | Nov 14, 2024 |