Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 137.3 | $0.982 | $134.83 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 298 |
| $0.200 |
| $59.6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 199 | $0.378 | $75.22 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 299 | $0.967 | $289.11 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 167 | $0.968 | $161.66 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 239 | $0.967 | $231.11 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 194.01 | $0.981 | $190.32 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.981 | $5.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 434.44 | $0.981 | $426.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 624.26 | $0.997 | $622.39 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 624.26 | $0.984 | $614.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 197.99 | $0.999 | $197.79 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 395.67 | $0.974 | $385.38 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 385.38 | $0.994 | $383.07 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 198 | $0.974 | $192.85 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 325.19 | $0.994 | $323.24 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 250.73 | $0.936 | $234.68 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 70%?No | buy | 323.24 | $0.950 | $307.08 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 568.14 | $0.900 | $511.33 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?No | buy | 312.33 | $0.979 | $305.77 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?No | buy | 94 | $0.977 | $91.84 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 296 | $0.993 | $293.93 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.967 | $28.04 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No | buy | 999 | $0.995 | $994.01 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by September 30?No | buy | 998 | $0.990 | $988.02 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Russia announces air truce by September 30?No | buy | 999 | $0.990 | $989.01 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.952 | $35.22 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.947 | $947 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 190 | $0.944 | $179.36 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by October meeting?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.985 | $99.47 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by October meeting?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.984 | $55.09 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by October meeting?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.983 | $71.76 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 209 | $0.971 | $202.93 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 85 | $0.970 | $82.45 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.976 | $1.77K | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 30.33 | $0.960 | $29.12 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.960 | $4.96K | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?No | buy | 204.07 | $0.965 | $196.92 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?No | buy | 25 | $0.959 | $23.97 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No | buy | 55 | $0.984 | $54.12 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.958 | $325.72 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 690 | $0.983 | $678.27 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?No | buy | 231 | $0.999 | $230.77 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.999 | $3.1K | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.995 | $3.24K | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 120 | $0.981 | $117.71 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 160 | $0.980 | $156.79 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 115 | $0.979 | $112.56 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 533.5 | $0.970 | $517.5 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 174.76 | $0.985 | $172.14 | Jul 12, 2025 |