Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50 | $0.660 | $29.75 | -$3.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.01 | $0.580 | $26.69 | 23h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.550 |
| $19.25 |
| -$8.25 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $11.25 | -$0.75 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.14 | $0.963 | $10.1 | +$0.34 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 3.49 | $0.970 | $3.43 | +$0.05 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 1 | $0.716 | $0.8 | +$0.09 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.038 |
| $0.38 |
| 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | 23h ago |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.101 | $2.02 | 2d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | 2d ago |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 47 | $0.260 | $12.22 | 3d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 23.99 | $0.261 | $6.25 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?No | buy | 548.5 | $0.980 | $537.53 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?No | buy | 77.91 | $0.970 | $75.57 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 5d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 50 | $0.346 | $17.3 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.040 | $2.2 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.160 | $17.6 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 2?No | sell | 174.96 | $0.998 | $174.61 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 2?No | buy | 333.34 | $0.999 | $333.01 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 2?No | buy | 245.26 | $0.998 | $244.77 | 7d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 94.65 | $0.740 | $70.04 | 7d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.633 | $79.13 | 7d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.643 | $64.3 | 9d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.137 | $6.85 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 217.89 | $0.972 | $211.79 | 9d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 50 | $0.788 | $39.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 50 | $0.352 | $17.6 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.047 | $9.4 | 13d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.221 | $11.05 | 13d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 13d ago |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 16d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.215 | $10.75 | 16d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.310 | $2.41 | 16d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 16d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 16d ago |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | 16d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.691 | $69.1 | 16d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 38.45 | $0.246 | $9.47 | 21d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 50 | $0.743 | $37.15 | 21d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 6.71 | $0.390 | $2.62 | 21d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.391 | $1.96 | 21d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.609 | $30.45 | 21d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.006 | $0.48 | 24d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 100 | $0.254 | $25.4 | 24d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 82.14 | $0.856 | $70.31 | 24d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?No | sell | 26.41 | $0.010 | $0.26 | 24d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?No | sell | 53.59 | $0.011 | $0.59 | 24d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 50 | $0.374 | $18.7 | 25d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.296 | $14.82 | 25d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 50 | $0.385 | $19.25 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.380 | $11.78 | 27d ago |