Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 26.53 | $0.686 | $18.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 16.89 |
| $0.977 |
| $16.5 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.978 | $9.43 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.960 | $14.66 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 14.02 | $0.927 | $13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 27.69 | $0.999 | $27.66 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 17.6 | $0.990 | $17.42 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 27.69 | $0.960 | $26.58 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp | sell | 26.63 | $0.999 | $26.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 26.63 | $0.985 | $26.24 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 26.24 | $0.980 | $25.72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.890 | $1.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.640 | $5.15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 20.12 | $0.770 | $15.49 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.900 | $1.93 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.730 | $5.87 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20.13 | $0.870 | $17.51 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?No | buy | 25.21 | $0.991 | $24.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.850 | $5.03 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 22.33 | $0.900 | $20.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | sell | 10.45 | $0.998 | $10.43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 15.67 | $0.920 | $14.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.974 | $10.18 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 9.96 | $0.930 | $9.26 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.780 | $12.23 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.995 | $2.94 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 18.86 | $0.993 | $18.73 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.840 | $2.62 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.930 | $2.35 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.660 | $2.06 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.983 | $3.47 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.999 | $2.3 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.995 | $1.33 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration by September 30?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | buy | 11.15 | $0.950 | $10.59 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 22?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.992 | $10.17 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.993 | $10.06 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.999 | $10.09 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 2025 July hottest on record?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.995 | $2.63 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.998 | $2.71 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.990 | $1.51 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.900 | $16.79 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?No | buy | 25.36 | $0.999 | $25.33 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 19.85 | $0.998 | $19.81 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?Yes | buy | 26.15 | $0.993 | $25.97 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | buy | 10.22 | $0.780 | $7.97 | Jul 19, 2025 |