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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 21.33 | $0.131 | $0.01 | -$2.79 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.080 | $1.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 18.82 |
| $0.120 |
| $2.26 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.054 | $0.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.430 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.057 | $0.91 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.973 | $1.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.850 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 4.97 | $0.420 | $2.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.340 | $1.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.762 | $3.81 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 6.28 | $0.997 | $6.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | sell | 6.47 | $0.934 | $6.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.820 | $5.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.680 | $5.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.760 | $6.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.720 | $6.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.570 | $5.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.97 | $0.420 | $4.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 11.81 | $0.720 | $8.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.58 | $0.529 | $8.77 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.97 | $0.236 | $4.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38.77 | $0.121 | $4.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.059 | $1.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.070 | $0.18 | Jun 29, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.620 | $0.88 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.229 | $1.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.111 | $0.69 | Jun 29, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.410 | $0.85 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.039 | $0.43 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.030 | $0.04 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.102 | $0.27 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.102 | $1.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.48 | $0.054 | $0.62 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.072 | $0.91 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.201 | $0.19 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |