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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 459.61 | $0.001 | $0.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 459.62 |
| $0.370 |
| $170 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 406.81 | $0.440 | $179 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 406.82 | $0.440 | $179 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 41.83K | $0.005 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.54K | $0.088 | $400 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54.77K | $0.002 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 871.58 | $0.998 | $869.84 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 159.42 | $0.690 | $110 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.154 | $123.38 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 63.03 | $0.476 | $30 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 161.31 | $0.620 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 647.25 | $0.618 | $400 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 382.45 | $0.590 | $225.65 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 254.77 | $0.973 | $247.89 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 254.78 | $0.450 | $114.65 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.003 | $9.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 415.52 | $0.251 | $104.24 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?No | buy | 447.65 | $0.053 | $23.52 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 718.75 | $0.032 | $23.23 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 382.45 | $0.550 | $210.35 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 318.62 | $0.110 | $35.05 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?No | sell | 121.29 | $0.850 | $103.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 566 | $0.021 | $11.89 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 566 | $0.480 | $271.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 462.96 | $0.522 | $241.67 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 415.52 | $0.253 | $105 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 718.75 | $0.160 | $115 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 318.63 | $0.628 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.29K | $0.128 | $678.09 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.29K | $0.129 | $684.09 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.016 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 462.96 | $0.648 | $300 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 32.69 | $0.831 | $27.17 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?No | buy | 121.3 | $0.701 | $85.04 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.705 | $39.13 | Mar 4, 2026 |